Patriots Experts at Bills, Wildcard Game Odds: Point Spread, Total, Player Props, How to Watch

Patriots Experts at Bills, Wildcard Game Odds: Point Spread, Total, Player Props, How to Watch

The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills will face off for the third time this season on Saturday night, but the stakes will be turned up with this showdown over Super Wild Card Weekend. One AFC East club advances to the division round, while the other walks into the abyss of the off-season. These teams split the season series by match, with each team winning along the way. Will that continue? We’ll know soon.

In this space, we’ll look specifically at the different betting angles that this matchup has in store for us. Below you’ll find picks from both CBS Sports and SportsLine pundits about this game, as well as a handful of player props that caught our eye.

All NFL opportunities are through Caesars Sportsbook.

How to watch?

Date: Saturday 15 January | Time: 8:15 PM ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, New York)
TV:
CBS | Current: Paramount+ (click here)
Opportunities: Bills -4, O/U 44

Patriots at Bills Spread Choices

Last Chances:

Buffalo Bills -5

“I don’t like what the Patriots have looked like when they come down the stretch. Not long ago they were number 1 in the conference, but have since fallen to a wildcard entry. That’s thanks to three losses over their last four games, including a 33-21 loss to Buffalo in Week 16. Despite these clubs splitting the season series, that game in Foxborough may give a more realistic picture of how this upcoming game will unfold.Week 13 was aided by wind of 40 mph in a game where they only threw the ball three times Until Mother Nature gets their hands on this game in the same way I don’t think Mac Jones is ready to match Josh Allen throws another pitch The Bills are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as favorites.’ — CBS Sports’ Tyler Sullivan on why he’s picking the bills to cover against New England on Saturday night Click here to read the rest of his picks.

Hammerin’ Hank Goldberg is a legendary handicapper for SportsLine and has his finger on the pulse of both the Bills and Patriots. He is 20-11-2 (+763) in his last 33 against-the-spread picks in games involving the Bills and 18-11 (+571) in his last 29 against-the-spread picks in games involving the Patriots. If you’ve been following Hammerin’ Hank, you’re all set. For this playoff match between these two divisional rivals, he has identified a key difference maker that has him leaning on one side of the spread. For that you have to look at SportsLine.

“This is one of two division match-ups this weekend, meaning we have plenty of information at our disposal. Unfortunately, one of the two matches between these two was played in the Arctic Circle and cannot be relied on unless the weather forecast for Buffalo changes drastically between now and Saturday (it will freeze, but not nearly as windy).

“What I come back to again and again is Bill Belichick getting points against a team he’s been against twice. Now the Patriots aren’t THE Patriots anymore. Mac Jones isn’t Tom Brady, and this defense isn’t nearly as good good as the patriots’ defense, but it’s good enough to contain the Bills and keep them in range.Even in Buffalo’s 33-21 New England win, Josh Allen might have thrown 314 yards, but he needed 47 passes to get there I expect a similar defensive game plan from New England to keep things ahead, eliminate big plays and put themselves in a position to possibly win the game late I don’t know how successful they will be when it comes to win a part, but the rest is more than achievable.” — CBS Sports’ Tom Fornelli on why he’s taking on the Patriots +4 against the Bills.

“This is the third game with these two this season, with each winning on the field of the other. New England won the first meeting in a storm in early December, while the Bills dominated the Pats in place in late December. Weather is expected to be cold but not so windy That means Josh Allen can have success throwing the football The Patriots haven’t been the same team on the road especially quarterback Mac Jones Look for the Bills to take the run away and dare him to beat them. He won’t. The Bills will continue.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL analyst Pete Prisco explains why the Bills will beat the Patriots with a 30-17 win You can read the rest of Prisco’s picks here.

“Let’s not forget that the Bills had one of the best defenses in football this year: they’ve lost the fewest yards and the fewest points per game, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they keep the Patriots under 20 points. a rookie at quarterback and let me tell you that a rookie is the last person you want to start at QB in a playoff game.

“Since 2010, rookie quarterbacks have been standing 2-6 in playoff games and the only two wins came in games where a rookie started for both teams, so a rookie had to win. Basically, I expect Mac Jones will struggle and The only way I think Patriots can win is if the game goes exactly like their first meeting with the Bills and I don’t think that’s going to happen.” CBS Sports NFL writer and Pick Six Podcast co-host John Breech on why he picks the bills to take the win over New England.

Patriots at Bill’s Total Pick

“The weather won’t be as bad as when these two teams last met in Buffalo, where the goalposts were swinging like inflatable figures for car dealerships. That said, it’s predicted to be icy cold, which should impact the weather.” game a bit. New England don’t want to get into a gunfight with Josh Allen and they were strong defensively on the belt. On offense, the Patriots preferred to lead the football which they have successfully done against this team. Damien Harris has rushed more than 100 yards in each of his two games against Buffalo this season, meanwhile, the run defense was New England’s biggest weakness in defense, so the Bills might choose to attack that as well. proves to be the case, it’s hard to see this tipping over to the Over.” — CBS Sports’ Tyler Sullivan on why he leans Under on the 44-point total.

Best Prop Picks

Damien Harris total rushing yards: over 56.5 (-115). Harris averaged 107 rushing yards at 7.6 yards per carry against the Bills this season and will once again play a prominent role in New England’s offense.

Rhamondre Stevenson always touchdown (+320). The same logic applies to Damien Harris (+127), but Stevenson has more value. The Bills are allowed to get the fifth most hasty touchdowns (19) this season and the most of the current playoff teams. If New England gets into the red zone, the ball will go into Stevenson and Harris’ arms quite a bit.

Josh Allen total up-and-coming yards: over 64.5 (-140). Stopping the run has been a major weakness for the Patriots this season and Allen is the type of runner who could give them attacks. In the final three weeks of the regular season, as the Bills sought to secure the division, Allen averaged 69.3 rushing yards per game at 6.5 yards per carry.

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